The European Commission recently published a draft of the
Solvency II ‘implementing
measures’. The ‘implementing
measures’ expand on the requirements set out in the Solvency II directive. Alongside the ‘implementing measures’, the
European Commission also published a draft
impact assessment. This
is one the many procedural requirements that apply to the policy-making process
in the Commission.
I thought it would be interesting to review the impact
assessment. As a user, I want to
consider the extent to which the impact assessment can help me to understand
Solvency II.
What did I learn from this exercise?
1.
The
importance of objectives in the EU policy-making process
The impact analysis is
structured around a definition of problems that the policy making will address. During the discussions about the directive,
these objectives were enhancing policyholders’ protection and the integration
of insurance markets in the EU.
The Commission’s impact
analysis acknowledges that there is now a third objective that has been taken
into account: fostering growth and recovery in Europe by promoting long-term
investment. In the case of insurance,
the main challenges that arise relate to the low interest rate environment and
the volatility of asset prices.
2.
A
useful summary of how the calibration of asset risk has evolved
The third objective mentioned
above has shaped the structure and calibration of capital requirements for assets risk which
has evolved over a number of years. However,
it is not easy to see in a succinct way the end product where the answer is set
out over a number of articles in the implementing measures. Surprisingly, this can be summarised in a
simple table (below).
3.
The
scope of impact analysis remains a tricky issue
The Commission seems to have
overcome the challenge of undertaking an impact analysis that seeks to cover
the impact of all rules. The Commission
states,
“The
options assessed have been selected to cover the most important and
representative issues from each of the three pillars of Solvency II and each of
the areas of the objectives and problem trees. The areas that are merely
technical, have been settled in the Directive or are uncontroversial are not
assessed in detail …”
This is reasonable and can
result in a more productive use of scarce analytical resources but it can also
have unintended consequences. As far as
I can see, the impact analysis did not cover the treatment of long-term
guarantees. I am frankly not sure if
this is because it was settled in the Directive or because it turned out to be
uncontroversial.
4.
The relative
priorities of the Commission: the importance of reducing over-reliance on
ratings
The concern about
over-reliance on ratings is not new if you have been following the development
of Solvency II. However, given the
breadth of Solvency II and the focused impact assessment, I found it surprising
that the Commission went out of its way to include a full two-page annex
summarising the requirements aimed at reducing reliance on external ratings in
the risk management of insurance “such as
▪ external ratings shall not
prevail in risk management;
▪ as part of their investment
risk management policy, insurers and
reinsurers should have their own assessment of all counterparties;
reinsurers should have their own assessment of all counterparties;
▪ as part of their reinsurance
(or other risk mitigation techniques) policy,
insurers and reinsurers should have their own assessment of all
counterparties.”
insurers and reinsurers should have their own assessment of all
counterparties.”
5.
And
finally, a puzzle about policy making
The Commission’s impact
assessment notes that one of the issues that emerged from the QIS5 was the
application of a limit to the amount of Tier 2 capital (i.e. debt) that would
be allowed. This issue has remained
unclear since then.
Interestingly, if all you read
is the relevant section of the impact analysis on pages 38 to 46 which also
summarises EIOPA’s recommendations, you could be forgiven for thinking that the
limit would not apply. It is only the
summary on pages 50 to 51 that suggested that I might need to reconsider my
initial views. Indeed, the draft
implementing measures clarify that the sum of Tier 2 and Tier 3 capital must
not exceed 50% of the SCR, which is an interesting development.
This illustrates one of the
key operational challenges of impact analysis: the need to keep up with the
policy.
This was a selective but nonetheless in-depth reading
of the impact assessment. Have you read the
impact assessment? Did you learn any
useful points from it?