I have been reading about AI in financial services and
thinking about it from a risk management perspective. What is there to be
gained from this?
AI, like computers and other innovations, is a general
purpose technology. One of the insights from Tim
Harford , economist and journalist, about the impact of this type of innovation
is that sometimes it takes time for innovations to have an impact because
people do not immediately change the mindset associated with the previous
technology. The main example he provides of this time lag is electricity. Following
his invention of the light bulb in the late 1870s, Edison built electric power
stations in 1881 in the US, and within a year electricity was available as a
commodity. Yet as late as 1910, when electric motors had more to offer, manufacturing
still relied on steam power. You can read about this here.
I found Tim’s explanation for this conundrum compelling. Steam-powered
factories were arranged in a specific form to benefit from the single steam
engine through a central drive shaft that ran through the factory. Initially, owners changed the source of power
to electricity but to fully benefit from it, factories had to be rearranged according
to a different logic. In addition, rearranging factories gave workers more
autonomy and flexibility, and the way staff was recruited, trained and paid had
to change as well. As a result, adopting electricity meant much more than simply
substituting one source of power for another and the pace of adopting
electricity was slow.
I think this analogy might be relevant in applying AI to
financial services. AI offers a new way of powering decision making in
businesses. The example of replacing steam power with electricity suggests that
to get the full value of AI, financial services need to think about AI as more
than enhancing or substituting for existing tools. Risk management requires a broader
perspective to support decision making and achieve business objectives. I would hope that considering AI from this
perspective would help financial services business to fully benefit from AI.
You can also help by submitting questions about AI from the
perspective of risk management and governance. Send your questions by email (isaacalfonblog@gmail.com) or leave a
comment. I am not sure I will have
answers, but who knows?
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